Joe Biden of the day
Joe Biden of the day
Out of context: Reply #180
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- shapesalad-1
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news…
I'm betting 4:1 the Trump wins this one.
- sorry, betting odds are not my strong point. I mean to say I'm 80% predicting Trump has it, 20% Biden.shapesalad
- UK bookies offering 50:1 on Trump winning the election. I'm really tempted to put money on this cos I have no confidence in the US voting him out.microkorg
- f*ck actually cant find those odds anywhere now. wish i'd jumped at it when i saw it!microkorg
- Betting based on what though, just a general impression?yuekit
- You got to remember Trump barely won last time. His margins were as small as 0.2% in some states. And he never had majority support of the country.yuekit
- And that was before pandemic. I would never rule out he could win, but anyone saying he's definitely going to win I always wonder what the reasoning isyuekit
- Yeah, I guess hard to make a calculated prediction, didn't know about the won margin before. Still... could they not put someone stronger against Trump?shapesalad
- Prediction markets overall seem to have it 65-35 in Biden's favor. That seems about right to me. There would need to be a significant error in the polling andyuekit
- turnout for Trump to have a chance. Which is possible...he surprised everyone in 2016, although like I said by a very small margin.yuekit
- US elections are often very close, but taken at face value this one doesn't look close. Looks like a landslide for Dems. But people are reluctant to say thatyuekit
- because of what happened in 2016.yuekit
- aye. I have a feeling the polls are now overcorrected and it will be a win for Biden. They will need.a landslide.tank02
- aye. I have a feeling the polls are now overcorrected and it will be a win for Biden. They will need.a landslide.tank02
- was just about to put a bet on microkorg but best I can get is 4 to 1fadein11
- Here's something no one seems to know. The polls got it right last time. Hillary won the popular vote by 3%. That's what the polls said...CyBrainX
- They don't do stupid electoral college math.
There also were 4x as many undecideds that election as now.CyBrainX