Bitcoin

Out of context: Reply #2042

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  • drgs0

    It does not look like a bullrun top because:

    A) Not a top, more upside
    B) Not a bullrun, but a rally, proper bullrun peak in Q3 2023
    C) Bullruns as we know them from 2010s will disappear

    ?


    Halvings had big supply shock in the beginning, and halving-induced cycles made more sense back then, but as more Bitcoin is mined new halvings will have progressively diminishing effect.

    Imagine sometime in 2040 99.9% of all Bitcoin is mined and a new halving has occured. What does it matter -- we practically have all the corn already? Basically, we are currently somewhere in the middle.

    Or something to do with TA-awareness: bullruns are highly "advertised" and anticipated in advance, the market becomes too one-sided.
    2017-bullrun was born out of misery, when 2015-2016 really seemed like the end. Maybe that's what we need?

    Discuss

    • All will be mined around 2100, not 2040.
      After that, there will be only fees to process, nothing more. If all will hold, not even fees.
      grafician
    • Will there not come a time where cost to mine outweighs cost of coin? Like gold, all the easy cheap to mine gold has gone, now it's the hard to get stuff left =shapesalad
    • if you really want more gold you got to spend lots to dig it out. If oil goes up, if we switch to eco energy, we may never extract all gold.shapesalad
    • same holds true for bitcoin, it's already mega expensive, the price of coin would be the only factor that determines if the last few bitcoins are mined.shapesalad
    • The price will still go up, but will we still have cycles/bullruns/vola...drgs
    • tilitydrgs

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