2020 Election Predictions
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- SteveJobs-1
This is my best case scenario now given where things are and the likelihood of how things could go as a result:
Biden:
6 NV
11 AZ
10 WI
16 MI
4 ME47 Total
224 Current271 Result
Trump:
20 PA
15 NC
16 GA
3 AK54 Total
213 Current267 Result
Biden 271 over Trump 267 (270 needed to win)
- Based on current margins I think Michigan may be the sole deciderSteveJobs
- Continuity-1
The WP's graph, as it currently sits. Looks markedly different than it did when I got up about 8 hours ago (which had Biden losing).
Effectively, Trump only has a commanding lead in:
• Pennsylvania (and that narrowed a tiny bit since this morning);
• Maine District 2 (whoopty-fucking-do, a bunch of lumberjacks and fishermen);
• Alaska (who gives a fuck about polar rednecks).The remaining states have him at substantially less than a 5% lead.
Don't hold your breath kids, but we might actually be rid of the sharty orange imbecile.
- jonny_quest_lives0
Someone running the Trump campaign's feed of Rudy Giuliani's Press Conference can be heard saying "can they hear us on the stream?" and talking about "Rudy's hair dye dripping down his face."
- SteveJobs-2
North Carolina and Kansas are both ahead by some margin in favor of Biden. Both states were predominantly red in 2012 and 2016 elections.
Ohio and Pennsylvania both seem to be favoring Biden too, so a possible repeat of 2012 there.
Texas, another red state, is too early to call but Biden is currently ahead by a slim margin here.
- sted0
The Stand Up Michigan Facebook post falsely claimed that Biden was leading Trump by 18 votes with 94% of precincts reporting. In fact, Associated Press data had showed Biden leading Trump by more than 30,000 votes throughout the morning. NBC News also reported the link between “Stand Up Michigan” group and the “Stop the count” protest, based on posts inside a private “Stand Up Michigan” Facebook group.
Steffes was one of a small group of people who loudly chanted “stop the count” outside Detroit’s TCF Center, in a milling crowd of more than 100 people. While ballot challengers from both parties were already inside observing the election count, Stefffes said he thought “normal people” should also be allowed to verify the election process and get answers on some of the questions swirling about the ballot process.
Other protesters outside the ballot-counting location said they had heard about the need for more ballot challengers through various channels, sometimes secondhand: an email one man’s wife received, a text another man’s sister received, a message from someone at a Trump campaign group in Macomb County.While he did not mention Stand Up Michigan, Rob Phail, who said he had left work to attempt to become a ballot challenger, also mentioned his concerns about coronavirus and freedom in Michigan in explaining why he had come to protest outside the ballot counting location.
- jonny_quest_lives0
Imagine being scared of a 74 year old man wearing Depends, a spray tan, shoe lifts, a girdle and a dead ferret on his head, yet the entire GOP are paralyzed with fear about a drug addict sending a mean tweet about them. He lost. Have some courage.
-Noel Casler
- SteveJobs-6
- Well sort of, but also every other vote from the millions who voted.nb
- @SteveJobs
Thanks for your insight, that's some tip-top reasoning right there!palimpsest - Right, I'm just saying in the final two states that are giving Biden the edge, the slim margin can be quantified in a pretty profound waySteveJobs
- downvoted for sharing 'visual quantification' w/designers... ... makes sense// (I love you, Steve <3 )PonyBoy
- There is no 'reasoning' going on here, palimpsest (and those dving)... it's a visual comparison ffs (LOL at how dense AND mean some can be at the same time) :PPonyBoy
- You said it.palimpsest
- Haha thanks PonyBoy. I really don't mind. If one of the village favorites here had posted it, it'd be front page. I'm just down in the polls right now is all :)SteveJobs
- well they always say every vote matters... this illustrates it...jonny_quest_lives
- No, his claim is that this is the number of people that decide the election. It is false.palimpsest
- It's like claiming that the last 5 stiches are what holds your shirt together. And putting a paperclip next to those stiches as visual quantification...palimpsest
- ...doesn't validate that claim.
I do, however, agree that if someone else had posted this it could have it made it to the front page.palimpsest - You either can't read or you're just looking for a fight—either way you're still incorrect, palimpsest. There is no 'claim' in this post. He's just showing...PonyBoy
- ... a VISUAL COMPARISON on how tight the race is.PonyBoy
- I stand corrected.palimpsest
- sted-1
- greyandred-2
Kinda missing deathboys input on this. Can you imagine?
- Oh, I'm sure he's still around somewhere, under another user name. This one, for instance:
https://www.qbn.com/…Continuity
- Oh, I'm sure he's still around somewhere, under another user name. This one, for instance:
- AQUTE-1
- babydick-2
Little pimp, cunts.
- IRNlun6-11
Mail-in ballots were part of a plot to deny Lincoln reelection in 1864