Ebola
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- GeorgesII0
they didn't listen to GeorgesX, now they are puking blood
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Lakeland Industries, Inc. (LAKE), a leading global manufacturer of industrial protective clothing for industry, municipalities, healthcare and to first responders on the federal, state and local levels, today announced the global availability of its protective apparel for use in handling the Ebola virus. In response to the increasing demand for specialty protective suits to be worm by healthcare workers and others being exposed to Ebola, Lakeland is increasing its manufacturing capacity for these garments and includes proprietary processes for specialized seam sealing, a far superior technology for protecting against viral hazards than non-sealed products.
"Lakeland stands ready to join the fight against the spread of Ebola," said Christopher J. Ryan, President and Chief Executive Officer of Lakeland Industries. "We understand the difficulty of getting appropriate products through a procurement system that in times of crisis favors availability over specification, and we hope our added capacity will help alleviate that problem. With the U.S. State Department alone putting out a bid for 160,000 suits, we encourage all protective apparel companies to increase their manufacturing capacity for sealed seam garments so that our industry can do its part in addressing this threat to global health.
- nb0
- mg330
The 2014 Ebola Outbreak Theme Song is Here!
- PonyBoy0
American cameraman for NBC News diagnosed with Ebola in Liberia
- GeorgesII0
it's really really weird that italy is getting tons of migrants from Africa, but they are still no case of ebolachan reported, same for the rest of europe
meanwhile they are already some in the US, it's really nuts that I read some "crazy" person saying exactly what would happen and it really does,
- Tell us what happens nextukit2
- We all gonna die? x_xukit2
- http://www.qbn.com/t…GeorgesII
- randommail0
Lakeland Industries is making a lot of money right now.
http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=bl_s…
- i_monk0
Patient in Toronto being tested as a precaution:
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/to…
- i_monk0
Back on August 13th, the Canadian government announced that it would donate doses of its experimental Ebola vaccine to the international community. The World Health Organization would determine who receives it. The Canadian government still owns the patent, but it's licensed to a private company, the National Microbiology Laboratory in Winnipeg, Manitoba. The 800 to 1,000 doses should've been shipped to West Africa by now, but they haven't. The federal government says the delay is with the WHO, which is figuring out who should get the vaccine and how to ship it properly.
But according to ScienceInsider, there's another possibility: A U.S.-based company that purchased a license to the vaccine's commercialization from the Canadian feds is "dragging its feet."
- Fuck you world. We hosers make the vaccine. :) Project Maple has finally begun.ETM
- mg330
discoduro,
The problem with those charts, and their attempt to make people feel less afraid of this, is that this strain of ebola is being described as having a 70% chance of mortality if you have it. Hepatitis, HIV, SARS, Mumps, Measles - these don't kill people within a month of acquiring it.
You have less of a chance of getting ebola, but if you get it, your probably fucked. People who get mumps and measles don't die from it, certainly not in the numbers possible with an ebola pandemic.
- Valid point. I'm like scarabin, the media kinda needs to f off. Being informed and being scared are two vastly different things.discoduro
- scarabin0
the flesh-eating-virus of the early 90s was much cooler. can we bring that back instead
- scarabin0
also, i kinda wish the news would just fuck off
- mg330
This is what should frighten you to your core. Chart shows realistic, exponential spread of ebola, and the resulting deaths.
These are theoretical calculations I'm copying from a good source, based on a "patient 0" - in this case, the infected man in Dallas. The problem beyond this is multiple "patient 0's" - new people arriving from infected countries introducing the virus into a new community in the United States. I'm not a fear-mongering person, but really, exponential growth of a virus and the spreading of it is completely realistic. Sorry bum anyone out on a Friday, but here you go:
Sep, 2014 - Infected: 3 Dead: 2 ROI: 3.47
Oct, 2014 - Infected: 12 Dead: 8 ROI: 3.47
Nov, 2014 - Infected: 42 Dead: 29 ROI: 3.47
Dec, 2014 - Infected: 145 Dead: 101 ROI: 3.47
Jan, 2015 - Infected: 503 Dead: 352 ROI: 3.47
Feb, 2015 - Infected: 1,746 Dead: 1,222 ROI: 3.47
Mar, 2015 - Infected: 6,058 Dead: 4,240 ROI: 3.47
Apr, 2015 - Infected: 21,020 Dead: 14,714 ROI: 3.47
May, 2015 - Infected: 72,940 Dead: 51,058 ROI: 3.47
Jun, 2015 - Infected: 253,102 Dead: 177,171 ROI: 3.47
Jul, 2015 - Infected: 878,262 Dead: 614,784 ROI: 3.47
Aug, 2015 - Infected: 3,047,570 Dead: 2,133,299 ROI: 3.47
Sep, 2015 - Infected: 10,575,068 Dead: 7,402,548 ROI: 3.47
Oct, 2015 - Infected: 36,695,486 Dead: 25,686,840 ROI: 3.47
Nov, 2015 - Infected: 127,333,337 Dead: 89,133,336 ROI: 3.47This assumes he at least infected 3 in September which is very realistic at the higher R0 of 3.47
If it's 2.60
Sep, 2014 - Infected: 3 Dead: 2 ROI: 2.6
Oct, 2014 - Infected: 7 Dead: 5 ROI: 2.6
Nov, 2014 - Infected: 18 Dead: 12 ROI: 2.6
Dec, 2014 - Infected: 46 Dead: 32 ROI: 2.6
Jan, 2015 - Infected: 119 Dead: 83 ROI: 2.6
Feb, 2015 - Infected: 309 Dead: 216 ROI: 2.6
Mar, 2015 - Infected: 803 Dead: 562 ROI: 2.6
Apr, 2015 - Infected: 2,088 Dead: 1,462 ROI: 2.6
May, 2015 - Infected: 5,430 Dead: 3,801 ROI: 2.6
Jun, 2015 - Infected: 14,117 Dead: 9,882 ROI: 2.6
Jul, 2015 - Infected: 36,703 Dead: 25,692 ROI: 2.6
Aug, 2015 - Infected: 95,429 Dead: 66,800 ROI: 2.6
Sep, 2015 - Infected: 248,115 Dead: 173,681 ROI: 2.6
Oct, 2015 - Infected: 645,100 Dead: 451,570 ROI: 2.6
Nov, 2015 - Infected: 1,677,259 Dead: 1,174,082 ROI: 2.6
Dec, 2015 - Infected: 4,360,874 Dead: 3,052,612 ROI: 2.6
Jan, 2016 - Infected: 11,338,273 Dead: 7,936,791 ROI: 2.6
Feb, 2016 - Infected: 29,479,510 Dead: 20,635,657 ROI: 2.6
Mar, 2016 - Infected: 76,646,727 Dead: 53,652,709 ROI: 2.6
Apr, 2016 - Infected: 199,281,489 Dead: 139,497,042 ROI: 2.6Keep in mind the US has better health care so I do think the RO will be lower at first... and may increment if they cannot contain it due to the 21 day incubation period allowing it to spread in stealth.
Here is the calculation for 1.82 as per the original R0 at the start of the outbreak in Eblolica.
Sep, 2014 - Infected: 2 Dead: 1 ROI: 1.82
Oct, 2014 - Infected: 3 Dead: 2 ROI: 1.82
Nov, 2014 - Infected: 6 Dead: 4 ROI: 1.82
Dec, 2014 - Infected: 11 Dead: 8 ROI: 1.82
Jan, 2015 - Infected: 20 Dead: 14 ROI: 1.82
Feb, 2015 - Infected: 36 Dead: 25 ROI: 1.82
Mar, 2015 - Infected: 66 Dead: 46 ROI: 1.82
Apr, 2015 - Infected: 120 Dead: 84 ROI: 1.82
May, 2015 - Infected: 219 Dead: 153 ROI: 1.82
Jun, 2015 - Infected: 399 Dead: 279 ROI: 1.82
Jul, 2015 - Infected: 726 Dead: 508 ROI: 1.82
Aug, 2015 - Infected: 1,321 Dead: 925 ROI: 1.82
Sep, 2015 - Infected: 2,404 Dead: 1,683 ROI: 1.82
Oct, 2015 - Infected: 4,375 Dead: 3,063 ROI: 1.82
Nov, 2015 - Infected: 7,963 Dead: 5,574 ROI: 1.82
Dec, 2015 - Infected: 14,492 Dead: 10,145 ROI: 1.82
Jan, 2016 - Infected: 26,376 Dead: 18,463 ROI: 1.82
Feb, 2016 - Infected: 48,005 Dead: 33,603 ROI: 1.82
Mar, 2016 - Infected: 87,369 Dead: 61,158 ROI: 1.82
Apr, 2016 - Infected: 159,011 Dead: 111,308 ROI: 1.82
May, 2016 - Infected: 289,400 Dead: 202,580 ROI: 1.82
Jun, 2016 - Infected: 526,709 Dead: 368,696 ROI: 1.82
Jul, 2016 - Infected: 958,610 Dead: 671,027 ROI: 1.82
Aug, 2016 - Infected: 1,744,670 Dead: 1,221,269 ROI: 1.82
Sep, 2016 - Infected: 3,175,300 Dead: 2,222,710 ROI: 1.82
Oct, 2016 - Infected: 5,779,045 Dead: 4,045,332 ROI: 1.82
Nov, 2016 - Infected: 10,517,862 Dead: 7,362,504 ROI: 1.82
Dec, 2016 - Infected: 19,142,509 Dead: 13,399,756 ROI: 1.82
Jan, 2017 - Infected: 34,839,367 Dead: 24,387,557 ROI: 1.82- You can likely 'project' far enough any disease with a mortality rate to wipe out the human race.ETM
- Because the calcs are ideal circumstances and there are SOOO many variables.ETM
- "realistic" then "theoretical", so which it is??GeorgesII
- Nothing is realistic until proven. This is not.ETM
- Fuck off telling people to be frightened to the core. Mainstream media fear mongering sheep.set
- Pathetic, ignorant and irresponsible.set
- scarabin0
couldn't hurt to store a bit of water and some emergency supplies.
one of the only things i picked up from the mormons was their policy of keeping a year's worth of food on hand at all times
- ETM0
So, measles on a global scale, not in western countries who have good health systems, has a mortality rate of 15% (including common complications from measles). And it is about 9x more contagious than ebola and air transferred (based off R0 above).
So, based on projections like above, the 3rd world should be decimated beyond believe. Yet there are only approx. 200,000-250,000 deaths globally from measles.
- imagineallthepeople0
.
"This is what should frighten you to your core. Chart shows realistic, exponential spread of ebola, and the resulting deaths.
These are theoretical calculations...."
-mg33yes, that's what that is. theoretical calculations for a pandemic. an academic excercise. not at all realistic for the US.
there simply won't be a ebola pandemic in a developed nation, because ebola is easily containable if your disease control is half decent.
calm down and stop spreading bullshit. people needlessly get stressed out if they buy into it you know.
